25% will vote by absentee ballot before Election Day.16% will vote in person before Election Day. 52% will vote in person on Election Day.Taking into account both when and how voters intend to cast their ballots, the data suggest the following distribution of voting methods this year by people who plan to vote: Of those voters who plan to vote before Election Day this year, 57% say they will do so by absentee ballot and 36% in person. In turn, 39% of Democrats plan to vote by mail, as do 23% of independents and 18% of Republicans. Republicans (75%) are more likely than independents (59%) and Democrats (56%) to say they will vote in person. This suggests there will be less voting by mail this year than in the last federal election cycle. However, in the 2020 presidential election year, 60% of registered voters planned to vote in person and 35% by absentee ballot. Gallup has not asked about voters' planned voting method in prior midterm election years. The new poll also finds that, regardless of when they plan to vote, 63% of all registered voters plan to vote in person at their local polling place, while 25% plan to vote by absentee ballot and 5% are unsure how they will vote. In Gallup's final estimate of early voting before the 2020 election, there was an 18-point party gap, with 77% of Democrats and 59% of Republicans planning to vote before Election Day. That year, President Donald Trump raised questions about the security of mail voting - the primary early voting option in many states. Gallup did not see party differences in early voting in presidential elections until 2020. Additionally, women are more likely than men to vote before Election Day. Senior citizens are more inclined than younger voters to cast their ballot before Election Day, with the majority of voters aged 65 and older planning to vote early. In addition to regional differences, the poll finds variation in early voting by age and gender. More people in the South (41%) than in the East (28%) and Midwest (28%) intend to vote before Election Day. Western states have longer histories than other states in extending early voting opportunities, with many allowing voting weeks before Election Day and Oregon conducting its elections entirely by mail. Two-Thirds in West Will Vote EarlyĬonsistent with prior years, Gallup finds early voting is most popular among voters living in the Western U.S., with nearly two-thirds of Western residents, 65%, planning to vote early. It is unclear how much pandemic concerns boosted early voting in 2020 because the practice has historically been more common in presidential than in midterm election years.Įarly voting intentions this year, though more prevalent than in the last (2018) midterm election, match those from the 2016 presidential election (40%). registered voters planned to vote early versus 32% who planned to vote on Election Day. 3-20 poll still does not reach what Gallup measured in the 2020 presidential election year, during the coronavirus pandemic and before COVID-19 vaccines were available. The level of planned early voting measured in the Oct.
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